Saturday, June 13, 2020

Fibonacci Retracements


Fibonacci Retracements



If I think that my stock is going to go down, then my Fibonacci Zero should be on the top and 100 on bottom
So my extensions, everything above 100  should be pointing downwards
If I think that my stock is going to go up, then my Fibonacci Zero should be on the bottom  and 100 on top
So my extensions, everything above 100  should be pointing upwards

90% of the failure occurs between 78.6% and 88.6%. You should buy at this point
A swing high occurs when the current high has lower high both before and after it

 Swing low occurs when the current low has a higher low both before or after it

So question arises what if there are multiple lows or highs relative close to the same price due to price consolidation range?


Answer: for swing lows, if the lows are relatively close in price, use the low furthest to the right in the consolidation area.
: for swing highs, if the highs are relatively close in price, use the high furthest to the right in the consolidation area
When we are calculating support levels, there is only one swing high and multiple swing lows







In Fig.1.1, For support levels, Lets say x=$10, A=$30.  So the range is A-X=30-10=$20.
Lets multiply the range by Fibonacci ratios

Ratios            Point
0.382             $7.64
0.5                 $10
0.618             $12.36
0.786             $15.72

Take the number points by each ratio and subtract it from A( $30)

Ratios            Point                Pt. A                           Fibonacci Retracement
0.382             $7.64                $30                              $22.36
0.5                 $10                   $30                              $20
0.618             $12.36              $30                              $17.64
0.786             $15.72              $30                              $14.28

In Fig.1.2, For Resistance levels, Lets say x=$30, A=$10.  So the range is X-A=30-10=$20.
Lets multiply the range by Fibonacci ratios

Ratios            Point
0.382             $7.64
0.5                 $10
0.618             $12.36
0.786             $15.72

Take the number points by each ratio and add it to A( $20)

Ratios            Point                Pt. A                           Fibonacci Retracement
0.382             $7.64                $10                              $17.64
0.5                 $10                   $10                              $20
0.618             $12.36              $10                              $22.36
0.786             $15.72              $10                              $25.72





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